3.4 2005
By 2005, further research on marsh fritillary had been completed. One of the most significant outcomes was an understanding of the extent of the habitat that a population requires to ensure long-term viability. The management planning guidance was also revised, and the objective structure was changed to make it more accessible through the inclusion of a 'vision'.
The 2005 revision of the management plan in accordance with new guidance notes (Fowles 2004), took account of the entire NNR/SAC. Previously, the objective had focused on the western block because it contained the majority of the butterfly population. The revision continued to build on past objectives and experience.
2005 marsh fritillary objective:
Vision for the marsh fritillary population
There will be a very large butterfly population at Rhos Llawrcwrt which will be viable in the long term. Because the marsh fritillary is parasitised by a wasp, the number of butterflies in the population will vary over a cycle of several years, but, during the peak years, a visitor taking a walk through the site on a sunny day in June will see several hundred adult butterflies. In these years, the caterpillars, feeding communally in silken webs on their food-plant, devil's bit scabious, will be found in their thousands throughout large areas of Llawrcwrt and Cors y Clettwr.
Rosettes of the food-plant will be both very numerous and widespread throughout the cattle-grazed rhos pasture, growing amongst a short turf of grasses, sedges and flowering herbs, with scattered tussocks of purple moor grass and rushes providing shelter for the caterpillars in wet weather. This colourful wet grassland mosaic will extend throughout Llawrcwrt, Cors y Clettwr and the fields which were drained and reseeded for agriculture in the 1980s but have reverted back to rhos. Dense mixed hedges of hawthorn, hazel, mountain ash and other locally native species grow around the boundaries and between fields and offer vital shelter to the breeding adult butterflies during poor weather in what is otherwise a very exposed landscape with little shelter.
There are a number of smaller breeding populations of marsh fritillary on rhos pasture sites within 5 km of the National Nature Reserve. Butterflies from Rhos Llawrcwrt will occasionally visit and breed on these sites, and butterflies from the smaller populations will visit Rhos Llawrcwrt. This exchange of butterflies will help to keep all populations in a healthy condition.
Factor: Extent and distribution of marsh fritillary habitat
Upper limit: not required
Lower limit: Within the SAC boundary:
26 ha of available habitat (the likely distribution is c 9 ha in the core compartments, c 12 ha in the low-density compartments and c 5 ha in the compartments for reversion)', including 10 ha of good condition habitat.
Factor: Quality of marsh fritillary habitat Upper limit: not required
Lower limit: 50% of the marsh fritillary habitat within compartments 5 and 6 is
described as 'good condition habitat with dense Succisa'
And
50% of the marsh fritillary habitat within compartment 14 is described as good condition 
And
Scrub covers less than 10% of compartment 15
Attributes and limits
Population size: This is the only attribute that may be used as a performance indicator for this species. Other attributes of quality, such as productivity and sex ratio, are difficult and time consuming to measure. In relation to determination of population size, it is most appropriate to consider the larval stage. Eggs are difficult to find and for this reason alone, abundance cannot be systematically evaluated. Data collected on adult butterflies cannot always be relied on to indicate population size because of observer difficulties related to the mobility of the butterflies. The abundance of Iarval webs will therefore be considered as the sole attribute for this species.
Abundance of larval webs: Larvae feed communally in webs, which are easily observed and reasonably static. Historically, a large amount of sample data on webs had been collected from a series of 53 transects in the current 'core' area for the butterfly on site - compartments 3, 5, 6, 7 and 10. Data has been analysed annually and an 'index' calculated which represents the total number of webs on all transects observed in any one year. In order to allow comparison with historical data, the performance indicators will include reference to the annual index collected on the 53 transects.
In addition, the performance indicators must take account of web abundance elsewhere on site, namely compartments 2, 3,4, 12 and 14, which have historically been occupied at low density, and compartments 16 and 18, which are currently semi-improved grassland but have potential for reversion.
Because of the host-parasite relationship with the wasp, the marsh fritillary population fluctuates significantly over time. Historical data from the site indicate that there is approximately a 10-year cycle between population peaks. If the butterfly population were not being affected adversely by other factors, it should be relatively high for half of that period.
The following site-specific performance indicator has been devised:
Attribute:       Larval webs
Upper limit:    not required
Lower limit:    over any 10-year period:
The web index count will be greater than 50 for at least 5 of the years. And
Annually:
• Larval webs continue to be present in all management compartments
• A minimum total of 50 webs are present in compartments 12 and 14
• A minimum total of 50 webs are present in compartments 16, 18, 22 and 24
Annual data on adult abundance will be collected as a surveillance project. Although adult data is not as reliable as larval data, it may still be used to confirm that any annual cohort of larvae are successfully producing adult butterflies and that there is a direct relationship between trends in the abundance of larvae and adults.
Status of marsh fritillary: unfavourable recovering (Wilkinson 2005)
The 2005 revision of Favourable Conservation Status meant that, for the first time since 1992, the status of the feature was deemed to be unfavourable. This is because there is insufficient 'good' and 'suitable' habitat on the NNR at present. However, there is potential to increase the area of both categories of habitat through reversion of the improved pastures on the NNR and achieve Favourable Conservation Status in the future.