Considerable strides have been made in the new domain of plant invasion ecology.
The three key questions are:
- what makes some species more invasive
than others?;
- what makes ecosystems resistant or
susceptible to invasions?;
- how can we use insights from the
previous questions to manage invasions?
Scientists continue to rely heavily on the track record of various species as aliens
in order to
predict their invasiveness (explaining why some species are more invasive than others), rather than
on mechanistic understanding of invasions. Problems with this approach include the fact that only
a small proportion of the world’s flora has been widely planted as aliens, and for long
enough, to
gauge their invasiveness. Fewer than half of the currently invasive plant species have a track record
of being invasive elsewhere.
Species known to have invaded many parts of the world are obviously more likely to
invade in other
areas, but no prediction can be made for species that have no history of widespread introduction
over long periods, or evidence of their invasiveness. Nonetheless, it seems that risk assessments
based largely on the experience of other invasive species are still the most pragmatic approach in
predicting invasiblity worldwide. In any event, continuing global changes will complicate any
predictions.
There is slow progreas towards a more mechanistic understanding of invasiveness, contributing
to
the debate on whether it is feasible or desirable to aim for standardized criteria for all weed lists,
given that such lists serve different purposes in different parts of the world. Formal protocols for
assessing the risk of invasiveness are not widely applied. Australia and New Zealand are the only
countries using risk assessment models in day-to-day decision-making when evaluating
applications for permission to introduce new species.