13.3 1914
13.3.1 Herring at Lowestoft
Global limits
Fish
The total catch of ocean fish increased from 18.5 million metric tonnes in 1950 to 73.5 million metric tonnes in 1996, an increase of close to 400%. The rapid increase in catch began to level off in the 70's and the catch per capita peaked at 14.4 kg per person per year. The total fish harvest has continued to increase, due to the increase in fish farm production, however, there are limitations on that source also. While researcher do not agree on the ultimate upper limit of harvest, it seems clear both from the actual catch, and the evidence of overfishing in individual species that we are very near that limit if we have not already passed it. Looking at individual species, 69% are considered to be either fully exploited or over exploited and on the decline. Only 9% are considered to have potential for increased fishing. Some species have declined dramatically, the Atlantic Cod in particular, but the stocks of many high value groundfish have decreased by 70 to 80 % in the last 20 years. To keep production up, there has been an increase in fishing for lower value fish, and fish from more distant oceans. Fish landings in the Northwest Atlantic have decreased by 36.6% since 1970, while the landings in the Southwest pacific, and East Indian Oceans have increased by 800 % and 312% respectively, however, these areas are now fully exploited and can no longer be counted on to counter balance the loss of production in traditionally fished areas. (Garcia & Newton)
Fish farming has dramatically increased in the last 15 years and has more than made up for the loss in production of ocean catch. At first it seems like a solution, and it is in part, but there are limitations. The pollution caused by the large populations of fish and shrimp raised in pens in estuaries is causing significant damage to the local ecosystem, particular in Thailand where there are heavy concentrations of shrimp farms. There is also the issue of food. At present a significant amount of food for raising fish consists of ground fish meal. To the extent that wild fish are caught and deliberately turned into meal to feed farmed fish, the system is counterproductive. It takes roughly 5lb. of fish meal to gain one pound of farmed fish, plus a lot of fuel and expense. At the same time the ocean fish are deprived of their food fish. Better to leave the fish in the ocean to be consumed by their natural predators and catch the larger fish. It is true that some of fish meal is made from byproducts of the fishing industry, but that is near its limit, so additional fish food will have to come from agriculture which is facing its own limitations.
Farmed fish 28 million metric tonnes
Total yield ocean fish 75 milllion metric tonnes
Status of World Fish Stocks
FAO evaluates periodically the status of world fish stocks. In its most recent assessment, undertaken in 2000, FAO said that:
-- 25 to 27 percent of world marine fish stocks are under-exploited or moderately exploited and thus are the main potential source for expansion of total capture fisheries production.
-- 47 to 50 percent of stocks are fully exploited and are therefore producing catches that have either reached, or are very close to, their maximum limits with no room expected for further expansion.
-- 15 to 18 percent of stocks are overexploited and have no potential for further increase. Moreover it is likely that catches from these stocks will decrease if remedial action is not taken to reduce or reverse overfishing.
-- 9 to 10 percent have been depleted or are recovering from depletion.
With 71 to 78 percent of fish stocks fully exploited, overexploited, depleted or recovering from depletion, responsible management of fish stocks has become ever more urgent.
FAO said in its 2000 global assessment that over the past decade there has been little change in the status of stocks despite strong international efforts after UNCED to promote more responsible behavior in fisheries.
Lack of improvement during the 1990s might be attributed to many factors, including insufficient time to realize substantive improvements. The apparent halt in deterioration suggests, at least, that implementation of conservation measures are not entirely ineffective but require more time than expected to demonstrate measurable progress towards stock recovery. A contrary view is that conservation measures have achieved no effect but that stocks are more resilient to heavy fishing pressure than had been realized.
An estimated 90 percent of the world's capture fisheries fall under national jurisdiction, and a significant proportion of these fisheries are found within 50 kilometers of the coast. Many of these fisheries operate on a small scale. They are responsible for producing about 50 percent of global capture production for consumption, supplying nearly all the fish consumed in developing countries. These fisheries are critical in the world food security equation. More than 400 million people in developing countries are employed directly or indirectly in these small-scale fisheries.
As a consequence of the concentration of capture fisheries in 200-mile exclusive economic zones (EEZs), most fisheries management problems are found in areas under national jurisdiction and a large proportion of them in developing countries. A focus on improving EEZ fisheries management continues to have high priority.
13.3.2 Coal at Cardiff
Local limits
Coal
The 10th anniversary of the Rio Earth Summit has provided the coal industry (coal producers and coal users) with an opportunity to review its performance in promoting sustainable development. In reviewing the performance of the coal industry, it is pertinent to recognize how coal use and production contribute to sustainable development, identify areas in which the industry has been successful in improving its performance and establish priorities for further action over the next ten years.
Coal plays a crucial role in sustainable development. It is the most widely used energy source in electricity generation and an essential input to most steel production. Coal reserves are abundant and widely distributed around the world, providing an accessible and affordable energy source. All authoritative studies, such as the International Energy Agency's "World
Energy Outlook" show that coal use is set to increase over the next 20 years as the world meets its growing energy needs. For many developing countries, affordable energy from coal is vital for building internationally competitive industries, and providing basic household services such as lighting, cooking and refrigeration. Unlike oil and gas, coal is easily obtained from a large range of suppliers operating in a competitive market.
The production of coal plays an integral role in the economic and social development of many countries. Coal is an important export commodity for countries such as Colombia,
Australia and South Africa. Coal mining is a major source of direct and indirect employment, especially in developing countries where it is essential for alleviating high levels of rural unemployment and poverty. Large scale coal mines are often the biggest source of income for rural communities - in the form of wages and expenditure on locally sourced goods and services - and taxes and royalties on these mines are an important source of government revenue. They often contribute to the provision of economic and social infrastructure - transport, water, education and communications - in their local communities.
Over the last ten years, the coal industry's performance against sustainability objectives has improved significantly in many areas. Most notable among these advances are:
· The development and deployment of higher combustion efficiency technologies that reduce emissions;
· Greater involvement in addressing local community development issues, mostly through voluntary agreements;
· Broader and more complete integration of environmental considerations into mine management;
· Improved transparency and company accountability.
That said, many of the major challenges facing the coal industry at the Rio Summit still exist today. These include climate change and acid rain and the need to transfer best health, safety and environmental management practices to many developing countries.