2. Ecology
The marsh fritillary butterfly is one of the nine British fritillary species. It is a reddish brown insect with cream, yellow and dark markings and has spiny larvae that are dark in colour. It is primarily a wetland species and has a very restricted range throughout Europe that in Wales is associated with marshy grassland habitat containing the larval food-plant devil's-bit scabious Succisa pratensis. Individual site populations are prone to wide fluctuations in size; there are tales from Ireland in the nineteenth century of massive 'outbreaks' of caterpillars causing villagers to barricade their homes and rake up huge piles for burning (Thomas and Lewington 1991). The butterfly occurs in groups of populations known as metapopulations, where each population is no more than about 5 km from another population. Occasional interchange of adults between individual populations reduces the occurrence of localised extinctions. Up to the 1930s it is very likely that the Rhos Llawrcwrt fritillaries would have been part of a large metapopulation.
In west Wales, adult emergence usually starts in the 3rd week in May and is finished by the 3rd week in June. The butterflies are very weak fliers and even mature hedges can act as barriers to movement. They are particularly susceptible to poor weather during the flight period. Wind and rain can reduce the chance of successful pairing and egg laying. The existence of natural shelter in the breeding habitat can be very important and, in years when the weather is poor and the population is low, may be a critical factor in successful breeding.
Adults are rarely on the wing after the 1st week in July. Eggs are laid in rows on the underside of leaves of the food-plant and hatch after 3 weeks. The caterpillars immediately spin a dense silken web within which they feed until all leaves are devoured. They then move en masse until the next plant is located and repeat the process again. This continues until late August when the caterpillars spin a dense silk web deep in the vegetation, often in the base of grass tussocks. They spend the winter months in this web and reappear on the first warm days of spring, often as early as late February. As air temperatures are low at this time of year and the caterpillars must raise their body temperature to feed, they cluster together above the vegetation, sometimes on top of webs, to form a black mass of bodies that absorbs the heat of the sun. Feeding in webs continues until eventually they start to wander away from the webs and feed as individuals until pupation, which will normally start from mid-April. Optimum habitat structure may be described as a mix of both short sward vegetation and tussocky vegetation to provide areas for both basking and shelter. The desired sward height at the end of the grazing season is usually quoted as being between 8 and 25cm. This structure can only be maintained by light summer grazing with cattle or ponies. Stocking rates need to be in the order of 0.2-0.4 lu/ha/annum (livestock units per hectare per annum), although this will need to vary from year to year to take account of vegetation growth.
Apart from the usual range of predators, including ground beetles and spiders, the marsh fritillary is parasitised by tiny parasitic wasps. In Britain there are two species, but in Wales the wasp Apantiles bignelli is the main parasite. This wasp injects eggs into the caterpillars; wasp grubs emerge from these eggs and feed on the butterfly caterpillars until they are ready to spin their own cocoons and finally emerge as adult wasps. Up to 70 wasps may emerge from a single caterpillar and each generation of butterfly caterpillars may be host to up to three generations of wasps. The second generation of wasp grubs overwinters in the butterfly caterpillars. The wasp can have a devastating effect on fritillary populations, killing up to 75% of caterpillars in some years.
The relationship between the parasite and fluctuations in the butterfly population is not fully understood, but a reasonable model is based on a multi-year cycle where the wasp population expands to a point that causes a crash in the butterfly population which in turn causes a crash in the parasite population. This host-parasite cycle is affected by many other parameters, including the weather. Cool, sunny springs favour the butterfly, the caterpillars of which warm up quickly by communal basking. Wasp pupae develop much more slowly in lower temperatures, and wasps emerge too late to parasitise the butterfly caterpillars before they pupate. A cycle of fixed length between peaks in butterfly population is therefore possible but unlikely. As is the case with most host-parasite relationships, the parasite alone is unlikely ever to be the cause of long-term decline or extinction in the host.
For a site manager, the challenge is to distinguish responses in the butterfly population to 'natural factors', such as the parasite or climate, from factors over which the site manager is able to exert some control, such as habitat structure and quality.
It was not until 1983 that any data on the status of the butterfly at Rhos Llawrcwrt was collected. Adrian Fowles (CCW entomologist) surveyed all known marsh fritillary sites in Ceredigion, using direct counts for all adults at small sites and counts along a series of parallel transects over suitable habitat at larger sites (Fowles 1983). Fowles recorded 413 adults at Rhos Llawrcwrt, by far the highest count in the survey that year, representing about 75% of the total count for all sites. Extrapolation of the count data indicated that a conservative estimate of total marsh fritillaries flying on the site on the count day would be in the order of 700. Assuming that was a peak figure for the entire emergence period, it was suggested that in excess of 2,000 adults emerged at Rhos Llawrcwrt in 1983 (Fowles 1983). However, the Ceredigion-wide survey also confirmed that Rhos Llawrcwrt was an isolated site and not part of a larger metapopulation. It was therefore very vulnerable.
In 1984, Fowles established a Pollard Walk to collect data on adult butterflies, following the methodology described in the National Butterfly Monitoring Scheme (Pollard 1977). This was based on a transect route in the western block of the NNR, approximately 1.7 km long, that was sampled throughout the flight period. From 1985, this route was walked once each week during the flight period, but only with climatic parameters in which the butterflies would be active. All adult butterflies within a defined distance from the recorder were counted. The total number of butterflies counted for all weeks was than recorded as an annual adult index. Fowles also set out a series of 53 100 m2 transects to collect data on larval webs. These web transects were located so as to representatively sample all potential breeding habitat available in the western block at the time. The transects were recorded during early September, and the total number of larval webs observed was recorded as an annual larval web index.