The relationship between power and the monetary economy has fascinated historians,
particulary
with reference to the rise and fall of capitalist states. Capitalism has been potentiallyvisible
since
the dawn of history, and that it has developed in associations with cycles of political power down
the ages. Far in advance of the industrial revolution, there were signs announcing the coming of
capitalism: the rise of the towns and of trade, the emergence of a labour market, the increasing
density of society, the spread of the use of money, the rise in output, the expansion of long-
distance trade or to put it another way the international market.
When, in the first century AD, India penetrated the islands of the East Indies; when
Rome held an
area even greater than the Mediterranean in her power; when China invented paper money in the
ninth century; when the West reconquered the Mediterranean between the eleventh and thirteenth
century; when a world market began to take shape in the sixteenth century, the 'biography of
capital' was starting to be written in the secular trend. It would however be a mistake to imagine
capitalism as something that developed in a series of stages or leaps - from mercantile capitalism
to industrial capitalism to finance capitalism, with some kind of regular progression from one phase
to the next, with 'true' capitalism appearing only at the late stage when it took over production, and
the only permissible term for the early period being mercantile capitalism or even 'pre-capitalism'.
In
fact the great 'merchants' of the past never specialized: they went in indiscriminately,
simultaneously or successively, for trade, banking, finance, speculation on the Stock Exchange,
'industrial' production, whether under the putting-out system or more rarely in manufactories.
The whole panoply of forms of capitalism - commercial, industrial, banking, art and
architecture -
was already deployed in thirteenth- century Florence, in seventeenth-century Amsterdam, in
London before the eighteenth century.
Two centuries after its beginnings, European captialism brought great prosperity
to the cluster of
North Italian towns centred on the Venetian Republic. Here was the coincidental rebirth of much
that the Greeks and the Romans had known, but which mediaevalism had forgotten or ignored.
Rennaisance, or "rebirth" is too simple a word to describe a movement that discovered ways
of
living, seeing and thinking that Greek and Roman civilization had never envisaged.
What happened, though it was of massive importance, happened gradually. The slow emergence,
first of all in Italy, later spreading northward across the Alps and westward to Southern France and
Spain, of a new attitude to the art of living manifested itself in all the arts, but in none more
strikingly than in painting and sculpture. However, this was only one expression of the spirit of an
observant, enquiring, intelligent people, deeply concerned with the behaviour and sensations of men
and women and with the appearance of the material world in which they live.
It is undoubtedly the case that in the early nineteenth century, the coming of machines
made
industrial production a high-profit sector and capitalism went over to it on a massive scale. But it
was by no means confined to this sector. When the first fantastic profits of the cotton boom in
Britain fell, in the face of competition, to 2 or 3%, the accumulated capital was diverted to other
industries, steel and railways for instance. To an even greater extent there was a return to finance
capitalism, to banking, to more speculation than ever on the Stock Exchange, to major
international trade, to the profits derived from exploitation of the colonies, to government loans etc.
Power was in the hands of a few families who maintained economic power because they had little
or no specialization in production systems. For example, the Wendel family in France were
steelmasters, bankers, mill- owners in the Vosges and suppliers of military equipment for the
Algiers expedition in 1830. In general, when money could no longer be made from local natural
resources, capital moved on leaving a much changed environment.
The theory of prices was worked out in about 1929- 32 by economists looking at the
contemporary
situation. Historians followed suit, and thanks to their work, it gradually became possible to go
back in time, producing a series of ideas, evidence and a new language. The overall movement was
divided up into particular economic movements, each being given its own code, period and, if
possible, significance.
Seasonal shifts, which can still play a role even today are usually obscured in the
complicated
economies of the present day. But they were not always so invisible. Poor harvests or food
shortages could in a few months create inflation equivalent to the entire sixteenth-century price
revolution! The poor were then obliged to live on as little as possible until the next harvest.
Other movements, or as they tend to be called cycles, imply a much longer
time-span. In order to
distinguish between them, they have been dubbed with the names of certain economists: thus a
Kitchin is a short cycle of three or four years; the Juglar, or intra-decade cycle lasts
from 6 to 8
years; a Labrousse (also known as an intercycle or inter-decade cycle) can last
10 or 12 years or
more: this is the combination of the latter phase of a Juglar (three or four years) and of a whole
Juglar which fails to take off and thereafter remains at a low level: a half-Juglar plus a whole Juglar
in other words. The classic example of the Labrousse is the intercycle which brought depression
and stagnation to France between 1778 and 1791 on the eve of the Revolution, which it must surely
have helped to unleash. The hypercycle or Kuznets, a double Juglar, lasts about twenty years,
while a Kondratief spreads over a half-century or more: one Kondratieff began
in 1791, reached its
peak in 1817 and then went downhill until 1851, lasting almost until the Second Empire in France
(1852-1870).
All these cycles are of course contemporaneous with each other, synchronic: they coexist,
overlap
and intensify or diminish by their own movements the general trend. But it is technically easy to
divide the general trend into particular movements, and to eliminate one group or another, the better
to study an individual movement.