In the late 1960s, James Lovelock presented a
hypothesis which he called the Gaia hypothesis, named after
the Greek word for the Earth Goddess.
Lovelock and his colleagues suggested that the
Earth is a self- regulating system, one able to maintain the
climate, atmosphere, soil, and ocean composition in a stable
balance favourable to life. The inputs and outputs are delicately
balanced and controlled by feedback mechanisms. The Gaia hypothesis
proposes that life itself produced and kept the very gases
essential for its own existence at a constant level, and that life
itself kept the natural systems of the Earth in a state fit for
life.
The Gaia hypothesis also explained the extinction
of species as a result of those species failing to contribute to
maintaining the natural systems and therefore the balance of Gaia.
The hypothesis also helped to explain why the surface temperature
of the Earth has remained relatively constant over the last 4
billion years, since life first emerged from the primordial organic
soups and gases of our planet, despite the fact that the Sun's heat
has increased by 25 per cent. Over the same period, the overall
carbon dioxide level has dropped, reducing the heat- holding
potential of the Earth. These were all consequences of botanical
activity, the fixation of carbon dioxide from the atmosphere by
photosynthesis. The amount of oxygen has remained constant over the
past 200 million years, the result of the balance of the complex
interactions of organisms and the inorganic components of
Earth.
Lovelock and his colleagues believe that if human
activity continues to disturb the geosphere, by disturbing the
natural balance of Gaia, and if human activities are not harmonised
with the natural processes of Gaia, then this life-support machine
will no longer sustain us and we will become extinct, to be
replaced by new species.
To help illustrate the Gaia hypothesis, Watson
and Lovelock developed the 'daisy world model'. They imagined a
world inhabited only by black and white daisies. In their model the
Sun began to warm up, a process that actually happened during the
early history of the Earth. A lifeless world also warmed up because
of the greater heat energy being emitted from the Sun. In the daisy
world, however, the black daisies absorbed more of the incoming
radiation, and were thus favoured because of their more suitable
survival strategy, at least during the early days of the faint Sun.
As the Sun continued to heat up, however, the black daisies became
unsuited to the warmer world, and then the white daisies began to
compete more successfully since they reflected more sunlight, which
also provided a negative feedback by helping to cool the planet's
surface. In such a changed world, the white daisies could become
more abundant than the black daisies. Eventually the Sun would
become so bright that all the daisies would die, unable to reflect
the large amounts of solar radiation reaching the surface of the
planet.
This simple model shows how evolving life on
Earth could modify climate through both negative and positive
feedback. Lovelock and his fellow workers suggest that similar
processes took place on Earth throughout geological time. The
Earth will continue to self-regulate itself, if human activity does
not cause changes in global climate, by affecting the biosphere and
atmosphere-ocean system, which will change faster than any negative
feedback that might otherwise moderate the system.
Not all scientists agree with the Gaia
hypothesis. A contrary view is that the planet's atmosphere has
evolved by chance chemical reactions and degassing from the
mantle. Lovelock argues, however, that this and the
traditional evolutionary theories are inadequate as theories
because they invoke a passive role for biota throughout Earth's
history. Lovelock believes that living organisms played, and
continue to play, an active role in controlling their environment.
This perspective led Lovelock to propose that life itself is the
major control on the atmosphere-ocean system on Earth, maintaining
a habitable planet through complex feedback.
Today, the consensus of scientific opinion lies
somewhere between a Gaian perspective and an appreciation of
non-biological, often random processes that contribute to creating
and maintaining the living world. Many scientists criticize the
Gaian hypothesis because it is untestable. Though parts of the
hypothesis can be tested by observation, it is generally impossible
to prove that an organism can produce its own environment rather
than be conditioned by it.