The Sagamihara glassworks is the repository of the highly secret, world beating techniques
that
have propelled Nikon to a dominant position in the manufacture of key production equipment.
This plant leads the world in making glass with uniquely powerful optical qualities
that are vital in
the production of semiconductors. Thanks to this glass, Nikon has come from nowhere in less then
two decades to become the world's dominant manufacturer in so-called steppers.
Steppers play an important role in world manufacturing in the late twentieth century
as blast
furnaces did in the nineteenth. They are lithographic machines that perform the crucial function of
printing circuit patterns on silicon wafers.
Lithographic-a printing process in which the image is rendered on a flat surface and
treated to
retain designs while the nonimage areas are treated to repel designs.
The printing is done by focusing an image of the circuit pattern onto a photosensitive
material
coated on each wafer. The image is formed by shining a light through a "mask"- a stencil-
like
metal replica of the circuit pattern- and is progressively reduced through a series of huge lenses.
It
is then reproduced on the silicon wafers.
Because the resolution power of each new generation of steppers is greater then the
last, the
semiconductor industry can print even finer lines on each new generation of chips. And of course,
the finer a chip's lines, the greater its information- processing capacity.
Much of the stepper industry's growth in sales revenues comes from price hikes as
each
succeeding generation of machines offers greater performance.
As of 1998, a state-of -the-art stepper cost more then five million. This represented
a five-fold
increase over Nikon's first steppers in the early 1980's. Moreover, a next generation stepper, due to
go to volume production in 2000, is expected to cost more then $8 million.
For the Japanese economy, the most striking benefit has been soaring exports. Nikon
exports
more then fifty percent of its steppers. Moreover, even those Nikon steppers that are installed in
Japanese semiconductor plants contribute strongly, if indirectly, to Japans exports because they
are engaged mainly in making semiconductors for export.
Nikon pay levels are well among the best in Japan. As of 1997 its workers earned on
average Y-
404, 900 a month. That was about $3, 300 at the 1997 exchange rate. Workers received large
biannual bonuses that brought their total income to around $55, 000 a year. Nikon's pay levels were
comparable to those in Japan's world beating automobile industry.
The stepper industry's need for highly precise mechanics stems in part from the ultra
demanding
level of accuracy required in positioning silicon wafers for the lithography process. If a wafer's
position is off by much more then .1 microns- little more then one -thousandth of a hair's breadth-
the resulting chips may prove fatally flawed.
Microchips are three-dimensional devices. Like the floors in a tall building, layers
of circuits are
imposed one on top of another. If each succeeding layer is not precisely aligned over the one
below, the circuit connections between the layers will not line up. The mechanical challenge is
greatly compounded by the fact that steppers print the same tiny pattern repeatedly on each wafer.
A final benefit of Nikon's base in Japan was a plentiful supply of long- term capital.
Nikon could
count on its Mitsubishi connections to ensure that it had privileged access to the torrent of patient
capital available from the Mitsubishi groups various banks and insurance companies.
Nikon's main rival, Canon, had already established an important beach-head in copiers
and used
this advantage to achieve leadership in the emerging laser printing business (Canon supplies the
key enabling components in laser printers to companies like Hewlett- Packard).
When American semiconductor makers were under strong competitive pressure from fast
expanding Japanese rivals in the mid- 1980s, a furious policy debate raged in Washington. For
many in the Reagan administration, the appropriate response seemed clear: do nothing. Their
position was famously encapsulated.
In a remark attributed to the top Reagan Administration Economic Advisor Michael Boskin:
"
Computer chips, wood chips, potato chips. What the difference? They're all chips."
Reaganites believed that the choice of which goods the United States should or should
not produce
was best left to the unfettered free market. If American companies found quicker, easier profits in
making potato chips or wood chips then computer chips, then this is where the nation's best
prospects for prosperity lay.
There were several flaws in this argument, of which the most obvious was that if the
American
economy was to remain one of the world's strongest, the United States needed not only profitable
corporations but good jobs.
The fact that the profit downturn the American semiconductor makers had suffered stemmed
from
no fundamental slowdown in the industry's phenomenal growth rate, but rather from short- term
oversupply problems created by the aggressive expansion of notably far sighted Japanese
semiconductor companies.
In just ten years to 1996, worldwide sales of microchips multiplied five fold to total
$132 billion.
Higashi Hiroshima- a medium sized Japanese town- has one of the world's largest and
most
advanced semiconductor fabrication plants. Measuring 400 metres long and about thirty metres
high, this plant is located in a semirural setting on the outskirts of town.
The plant is operated by NEC, which ranks as the world's second largest semiconductor
maker
after Santa Clara-based Intel Corporation. For our purposes, NEC is a more interesting company to
look at then Intel because it has based its success almost entirely on world leading manufacturing
skills, Whereas Intel's growth has come from a so called market lock- in - its virtual monopoly in
making chips for Wintel-standard companies.
In the summer of 1997, NEC had just finished building a new extension full of state-of-the-art
manufacturing technology. The extension, code named A2, was expected to lead the world in
mass producing chips with lines as thin as .25 microns- one quarter of one millionth of a metre.
This was an important advance on the semiconductor industry's previous mass production
best .28
microns, and it paved the way for NEC to pioneer the production of massively powerful 256
megabyt memories.
Perhaps the most important thing about A2 is its price tag- a cool $630 million. It
is a good
example of the pattern for Japanese companies to make their largest investments at home- a
pattern reflected in the fact that though NEC operates more semiconductor factories abroad then in
Japan, fully two- thirds of all the investment capital it pours into its worldwide semiconductor
business each year goes to domestic operations.
Clearly the Higashi Hiroshima plant is a classic example of manufacturing's ability
to create superb
First World jobs. Moreover, in common with other manufacturing operations, the plant has created
an excellent range of jobs: nearly 80% of NEC's workers are mere high school graduates, a
considerably higher proportion then in the Japanese workforce as a whole.
For a fifty-year-old worker, wages plus bonuses came to well over $60,000 a year.
The evidence of the 1990's is that the job prospects are better in semiconductors
than in
mushrooms - not to mention wood chips or potato chips.